'Extremely dangerous' Category 4 Hurricane Willa nearing Mexico's Pacific coast
Hurricane
Willa is nearing the Pacific coast of Mexico as a Category 4 storm, bringing
the potential for life-threatening storm surge, wind and torrents of rain.
Willa
weakened slightly Monday afternoon, but the National Hurricane Center warns it
is still expected to be a dangerous major hurricane when it slams into Mexico's
central Pacific coast on Tuesday.
Willa's
maximum sustained winds ticked down from 160 mph to 150 mph, leaving the
hurricane just shy of Category 5 strength. Its current intensity is about the
same as Hurricane Michael's when it made landfall in Florida's Panhandle less
than two weeks ago.
The National
Hurricane Center has marveled over Willa's "explosive" strengthening
since it formed over the weekend. It became a tropical storm on Saturday
morning and was a Category 5 hurricane in less than two days. As of Monday
morning, Willa had swelled by 80 mph in just 24 hours.
Willa is
located about 105 miles south-southwest of Islas Marias, an archipelago off
central Mexico's Pacific coast. The hurricane is moving north at 8 mph and is
forecast to move "over or very near" Islas Marias early Tuesday,
according to the National Hurricane Center. Landfall on mainland Mexico is
expected Tuesday afternoon or evening.
Storm surge
accompanied by "large and destructive waves" are forecast along
portions of Mexico's central and southwestern coast. Dangerous surf and
riptides are expected along the southern coast of Baja California late Monday.
Rainfall
ranging from 6 to 12 inches could spawn life-threatening landslides and flash
flooding in portions of the Mexican states of Jalisco, Nayarit and Sinaloa.
The
hurricane is on track to be one of the strongest hurricanes to ever hit the
Pacific coast of Mexico and its landfall will come three years to the day after
the strongest, Hurricane Patricia, made landfall one state to the south, in
Jalisco.
Hurricane
Patricia went
from a Category 5 to Category 4 when it made landfall, but at its peak,
Patricia had winds of 215 mph and was the strongest hurricane or typhoon ever
observed anywhere on the planet.
Mother
Nature may give Mexico a bit of a break with another storm currently right
behind Hurricane Walla. Tropical Storm Vicente is also expected to impact the
country Tuesday, but farther south than Walla, and the weakening system may dissipate
by the time it gets there, the National Hurricane Center said.
The
back-to-back systems have helped make the 2018 hurricane season in the
northeast Pacific one for the record books.
The season
is now the most active hurricane season on record using a measurement called
"Accumulated Cyclone Energy," which combines the number of storms and
their intensity through their lifetimes to give an overall measurement of
tropical activity in a given region.
The 2018
Northeast Pacific (to 180°) #hurricane season
has now set the record for most seasonal Accumulated Cyclone Energy for the NE
Pacific basin - breaking the old record set in 1992. #Vicente #Willapic.twitter.com/nWwVLT5ibU
— Philip
Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) October
20, 2018
2018 has
seen 10 major hurricanes, including Willa, which ties 1992 as the most major
hurricanes seen in the northeast Pacific in one year.
Increasing
numbers of major hurricanes, along with a greater propensity of storms to
undergo "rapid intensification" are expected consequences of warmer
ocean waters resulting from climate change. The ocean waters off the
western coast of Mexico are running 1-2 degrees Fahrenheit above average for
late October.
CNN's Taylor
Ward and Matt Rehbein contributed to this story.
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