Why do we still know so little about Jamal Khashoggi's disappearance?
(CNN)"I don't want to talk about any of the facts" --
Mike Pompeo, US Secretary of State, King Salman Air Base, Riyadh, October 17,
2018.
A truer statement has not been made, frankly, since October
2, when Jamal Khashoggi disappeared into the Saudi consulate in
Istanbul.
While a hunger for the truth has rarely been more acute in a
bizarre and macabre story like this, the three parties most involved appear
substantially disinterested in providing it.
In fact, 15 days on, all three sides seem, one way or
another, involved in some form of cover-up.
First, the Saudis.
Obviously, whatever happened, one of its citizens at the
very least -- even if Khashoggi miraculously turns up alive in a Dubai hotel --
was involved in some form of woeful misconduct.
At the worst, a large part of the Crown Prince's inner
security circle premeditated and executed a gruesome and unprecedented dismembering of a mildly outspoken critic, on foreign
soil, using diplomatic immunity as cover.
If what happened is as alleged, then it was a bizarrely
naive, arrogant and blundering plot that exposes the likely brash and short
lifespan of the current de facto Saudi administration.
If it can overreach like this, in a relatively small matter,
it will soon overreach in ways that damage Saudi Arabia both regionally and
permanently.
By floating -- or having floated on its behalf -- the idea
that a key figure could be thrown under the bus as the culprit, the Saudis
provided themselves with an off-ramp that can be gratefully seized upon by
unscrupulous and overly pragmatic allies.
But in no way will Saudi Arabia exonerate itself. What's
startling, this far on, with the resources that Saudi Arabia has even to bring
in outside help, it has put up no convincing refutation of the slow drip of
charges against it.
It gets worse every day. And every day the strategy from
Riyadh is to hope that another major world event sweeps in and distracts
everyone.
It hasn't happened yet. And the longer it goes on, the
bigger the event will have to be.
Second, the Trump White House.
Its top emissary has just flown to meet a possible accessory
in a gruesome alleged murder that has appalled even the US President. He grinned
next to him and shook his hand.
You can't but find it bizarre that Pompeo had Trump call Mohammad Bin Salman, the Saudi Crown Prince,
while he was there to repeat the Saudi denial.
Then Pompeo leaves and emits the line that facts are not
what he wants to talk about.
This from a former CIA director, who surely at one point in
the last 18 months walked past its motto, etched on their lobby wall: "And
ye shall know the truth and the truth shall make you free."
Perhaps he remembered it as: If you know the truth, it'll
likely be a serious pain in the ass, as you're really gunning for Iran now, and
don't need high oil prices.
It is impossible to believe that the US -- with its own
startling technology and assistance from NATO ally Turkey -- doesn't have a
clear view of exactly what happened both inside and outside the Istanbul
consulate.
The paucity of the actual alliance between Saudi's new
rulers and the US's most powerful diplomat is tragically on display.
He traveled across the world to shake their hands, rather
than grimace sternly, and was still unable to patch this up. The Saudis didn't
appear to want to concede anything at all to Pompeo.
He left with the very strong denial of Saudi royalty and its promise to
investigate quickly. It is testament to the spinelessness of the West's current
political elite that this explanation was deemed something that could be
presented in public.
Surely a proper alliance would have found a scapegoat
faster, had them arrested, accepted a few tokenistic sanctions or travel bans
and a lukewarm admonishment of the Crown Prince -- all safely delivered with
the knowledge that it'll be business as usual in a few months when the world
forgets and moves on.
Instead, President Trump makes comparisons to the Kavanaugh affair and
the lack of presumed innocence there. Actually, perhaps the surest similarity
the Kavanaugh affair affords is that of an elite bent on never losing face,
regardless of charges against it, and insisting their order of things be
upheld.
Turkish official: Khashoggi's body was cut into pieces 00:42
Third is Turkey.
The leading per-capita jailer of journalists (according to the Committee to
Protect Journalists) has been cast in the unlikely role of Chief of Outrage
about an outspoken journalist's murder.
But the role its taken is not that of the virtuous
prosecutor, but of the exploitative politician.
The slow, purposeful, yet absolutely deliberate series of
leaks to the media of evidence pointing towards the involvement of the Saudi
Crown Prince and his immediate entourage has been disrespectful to the cause of
justice itself, let alone to Khashoggi's grieving relatives.
Turkish officials have used what information they have to
keep up the pressure on Riyadh - and on the White House to demand explanations.
The passports, the CCTV, the alleged audio tape that may have recorded the
ghastly moment of death and dismemberment, the phone calls from Saudi phones.
These were surely all in the hands of the highly competent Turkish intelligence
-- MIT -- within hours of the crime.
Yet they are not retained and later laid out in full, in the
open, to present a public case about a crime committed on Turkish soil, against
a man with significant connections to its ruling party.
They are not even presented swiftly to explain Khashoggi's
disappearance. Instead, they are drip-fed first to Turkish media -- who will
presumably be less questioning -- and then to their foreign counterparts to be
sure the case never falls from public attention.
Turkey clearly does not want to go it alone, in its
confrontation with Riyadh, and wants the US to put pressure on them.
But it is clearly enjoying antagonizing the House of Saudi
Friend: Khashoggi's fiancé asked me to pray 01:27
Just over a year ago, regional alliances were taken to the
brink when the Saudis banded together Egypt, the UAE and Bahrain in a blockade against Qatar, who they believed were getting
too close to Saudi Arabia's regional nemesis, Iran.
Qatar was dubbed a financier of terrorism. Yet Erdogan upped
food exports to the Qataris and dubbed the effective siege of the tiny
peninsula: "a death sentence".
He said: "Along with Turkey, it is the country with the
most resolute stance against ISIS which has caused grave damage to our
region."
Trump at first seemed to join the Saudi onslaught, but later
calmed his rhetoric. In return, the Qataris have helped Turkey with a bailout
in its currency crisis this year.
Erdogan clearly sees the Saudis in the wrong here, and is
seeking to maximize the discomfort he can cause them, whilst enjoying the
appearance of being seen as the just upholder of international law.
Yet the Turkish case is flawed by its opaque and selective
omissions. We do not know for sure if the audio recording of the killing
actually exists, as we have not heard it. And we do not know how it was
obtained.
We know the select things that the Turkish officials want us
to know. So how can we expect to learn what they do not want us to know?
Erdogan has a plan, and it is going quite well here, due process be damned.
The question we may be left asking at the end of the grisly
episode is which of the three acted with the most grotesque hypocrisy?
The killers themselves? The investigators who used the
murder to their own ends? Or the alleged murderer's allies, who didn't want to
talk about facts, lest they upset an alliance that's clearly weaker than they
would like to admit?
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